Millwall vs Stoke City: The Championship Rivalry

By: Gordon

Millwall and Stoke City have faced each other 48 times throughout their history in the English football league system. This rivalry has produced a closely contested battle over the years, with Millwall holding a slight edge with 18 wins compared to Stoke City’s 16, while 12 matches have ended in draws. As these two teams prepare for their upcoming match on March 15, 2025, let’s examine their historical encounters and current form..

Head-to-head record

The head-to-head statistics between these two sides reveal a competitive matchup. Millwall has been particularly strong at home, winning 12 matches, drawing 4, and losing 7 when hosting Stoke City. Their away record against Stoke is more balanced, with 6 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses. This home advantage for Millwall could be a siginficant factor in their upcoming match.

Recent history suggests a period of stalemate between the teams, with three consecutive matches ending in draws. This trend indicates that both sides have been evenly matched in their recent encounters, making it difficult to separate them.

Scoring patterns

Both teams have demonstrated similar scoring capabilities in their head-to-head matches:

  • Average of 1.63 goals per match in direct encounters
  • Current season: Millwall averaging 1.00 goal per match
  • Current season: Stoke City averaging 1.29 goals per match
  • Last seven matches have all seen under 2.5 goals
  • 77.78% of Stoke City’s away matches see over 1.5 goals
  • 48.15% of Stoke City’s away matches see over 2.5 goals

These statistics suggest that while historically these matches have been relatively high-scoring, recent encounters have been more conservative in terms of goals. The trend of under 2.5 goals in the last seven matches indicates a potential tactical shift in how these teams approach their matchups.

Current form and expectations

As we approach the March 2025 fixture, both teams have shown different scoring patterns this season. Stoke City’s slightly higher goal average (1.29 vs Millwall’s 1.00) suggests they may pose a greater offensive threat. However, Millwall’s strong home record historically against Stoke could neutralize this advantage.

Stoke’s away matches htis season have frequently featured goals, with over three-quarters seeing at least two goals scored. This contrasts with the recent head-to-head trend of lower-scoring affairs, creating an interesting tactical question for the upcoming match.

Historical significance

The 48 matches between these teams represent a significant chapter in English football’s lower-tier competitions. With only two wins separating them overall, this rivalry has been remarkably balanced throughout its history. The high percentage of draws (25% of all matches) further emphasizes how closely matched these teams have been.

The competitive nature of this fixture makes it an important one for both clubs and their supporters. While neither team has dominated this matchup historically, the slight edge that Millwall holds adds an extra dimension to their encounters, with Stoke often looking to level the historical record.